What the prediction markets think will happen in New York. The races, the teams, the courts and the weather, every price side by side.
Buffalo Bills2nd of 32up 2 points over 24h13%+669
New York Giants17th of 321%+9900
New York Jets27th of 32<1%+99900
New York Knicks6th of 308%+1150
Brooklyn Nets28th of 30<1%+99900New York Giants9th of 163%+3233
Kalshi had a Democratic hold at 96% on October 29, 2026, a point above its price before Siena's poll, which means the exchanges were already surer of a Hochul win than the 68% of voters who expect one.
New York Predictions staff ·
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New York predictions here mean the contracts open on this state and the reporting around them. A contract qualifies when New York decides the question; a story, when the state's own record moves.
New York's own prediction markets and the reporting around them: the contracts an exchange has open on this state's races and its club seasons, the articles on what happens in New York, and a legal status page that sets out the state's record with the date it carries.
A market in yes-or-no contracts. One contract states one outcome, pays its full value on Yes and nothing on No, and the price it last changed hands at is what the people trading it imply about the chance of that outcome.
From the exchanges themselves. Kalshi and Polymarket price the New York contracts, both are named where both list the same question, no average is taken across them, and every figure in the text carries the day it was read.
No. A price here is what a market implies about an outcome, never a forecast from this site and never a recommendation. No page names a side, grades a candidate or ranks an exchange, and no exchange pays for or reviews anything published here.
This page does not answer that. The legal status page sets out what has been filed and what has been ordered on New York's record, with the date it carries, rather than a conclusion, and it is looked at again after each filing or order.
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