New York Mets Prediction Markets & 2026 MLB Odds
New York Mets prediction markets on this site follow whether the club reaches the Major League Baseball postseason. The Mets play their home games at Citi Field in Flushing, New York.
New York Mets in every market
16 markets · most traded first| Market | New York Mets | Price |
|---|---|---|
| New York World Series Odds 20271 venue · Nov 2027 | 4th of 30 | 7%+1329KAL |
| MLB NL Gold Glove 20261 venue · Dec 2026 | 73rd of 90 | — |
| Mike Trout's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 6th of 31 | 2%+4900KAL |
| Tarik Skubal's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 1st of 31 | 25%+300KAL |
| Aroldis Chapman's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 29th of 31 | 1%+9900KAL |
| Jarren Duran's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 4th of 31 | 7%+1329KAL |
| Sandy Alcantara's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 2nd of 31 | 7%+1329KAL |
| Joe Ryan's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 6th of 31 | 5%+1900KAL |
| Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 4th of 31 | 5%+1900KAL |
| Francisco Lindor's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 1st of 31 | 89%-809KAL |
| Rafael Devers's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 2nd of 31 | 8%+1150KAL |
| Christian Walker's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 2nd of 31 | 14%+614KAL |
| Yandy Diaz's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 8th of 31 | 2%+4900KAL |
| Luis Severino's Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 21st of 31 | 1%+9900KAL |
| Ronald Acuna Jr.'s Next Team Odds1 venue · Mar 2027 | 7th of 31 | 6%+1567KAL |
| MLB NL Silver Slugger 20261 venue · Dec 2026 | 75th of 78 | — |
Mets 2026 playoff odds
The contract this site follows for the Mets asked one question: would the club reach the 2026 Major League Baseball postseason. It resolved No on September 14, 2026, when a 2-1 home loss to Baltimore at Citi Field left New York at 69-81 and unable to reach the third National League wild card, well before the stated resolution date of November 1. Kalshi and Polymarket both listed it, and Polymarket closed its market No on September 15. The Mets playoff market records the settlement and the full resolution language, along with the season win total, whose lowest live rung asked for 75 wins.
The National League East picture
The Mets finished 74-88, fifth in the National League East and 20 games behind Atlanta at 94-68, with a run differential of minus 32. The wild card was the route the contract priced, and it closed first: on the morning of September 4, 2026 Major League Baseball put the Mets' elimination number at 10 with 22 games to play and six clubs between them and the third berth. San Diego, Chicago and Philadelphia took the three National League wild cards at 91-71, 89-73 and 88-74. The 74-88 finish followed an 83-79 season in 2025.
What has moved the Mets market
The arithmetic, mostly. New York went 11-11 over its last 22 games, including a sweep at Miami from September 7 to 9, and then lost five straight from September 13 to 17, the Baltimore game that settled the berth among them. The season win total's lowest live rung asked for 75 wins, and the Mets finished one short of it. Nothing on either contract has moved since, and the market page dates the last prices before elimination.
When the Mets market resolves
It already has. The berth contract settled No at mathematical elimination on September 14, 2026, the regular season ended on September 27 at Washington, and the stated resolution date of November 1, 2026 was only the outside edge. The page stays up with the outcome recorded on the market page, and the teams hub lists the other New York clubs the site follows.
Common questions
How do New York Mets prediction markets work?
The site follows one season-long futures contract on the Mets rather than a market on any single game. For 2026 it asked whether New York would reach the Major League Baseball postseason; Kalshi and Polymarket both listed it, and it settled No on September 14, 2026.
How did the Mets playoff contract settle?
No, at mathematical elimination on September 14, 2026, when a 2-1 home loss to Baltimore left the Mets at 69-81 and out of reach of the third National League wild card. A Yes would have needed a clinched place in the twelve-team field.
Which exchanges listed the Mets playoff market?
Kalshi and Polymarket. About 438,100 contracts traded on Kalshi and about $3.4K on Polymarket before the market closed, and Polymarket closed its version on September 15, 2026.
Where do the Mets play their home games?
At Citi Field in Flushing, New York, which Major League Baseball lists as the club's venue. The Baltimore loss that settled the 2026 berth contract was played there on September 14, 2026.
What was the Mets' final record in 2026?
74-88, fifth in the National League East and 20 games behind Atlanta, after an 83-79 season in 2025. The last game of the season was at Washington on September 27, 2026.