New York Prediction Markets & 2026 Odds
New York prediction markets get a page apiece in this catalogue. A contract earns one when the geography attached to it makes New York the state that decides the question.
Sports
18 markets · the 3 largest by volume, then the next 518 markets · by volumeSee all 18 sports →New York Super Bowl Odds 2026
Buffalo Bills2nd of 3211%+852
New York Giants18th of 323%+3900
New York Jets29th of 321%+19900New York World Series Odds 2026
New York Yankees3rd of 3012%+770
New York Mets24th of 300%—New York NBA Finals Odds 2027
New York Knicks4th of 3010%+900
Brooklyn Nets24th of 301%+19900| Market | New York | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Super Bowl Odds 2026NFL · 32 outcomes · 2 venues | Buffalo Bills 2nd of 32New York Giants 18thNew York Jets 29th | 11%+852 | — | Los Angeles Rams 13%leads 32 outcomes | $169M$2.9M 24h | Mar 30, 2027 |
| New York World Series Odds 2026MLB · 30 outcomes · 2 venues | New York Yankees 3rd of 30New York Mets 24th | 12%+770 | — | Los Angeles Dodgers 31%leads 30 outcomes | $114M$769K 24h | Oct 30, 2026 |
| New York NBA Finals Odds 2027NBA · 30 outcomes · 2 venues | New York Knicks 4th of 30Brooklyn Nets 24th | 10%+900 | — | Oklahoma City Thunder 22%leads 30 outcomes | $50M$169K 24h | Jun 30, 2027 |
| New York Giants NFC Championship Odds 2026NFL · 16 outcomes · 2 venues | New York Giants 10th of 16 | 4%+2400 | — | Los Angeles Rams 18%leads 16 outcomes | $13M$91K 24h | Jan 24, 2027 |
| New York AFC Championship Odds 2026NFL · 16 outcomes · 2 venues | Buffalo Bills 1st of 16New York Jets 13th | 17%+506 | — | Buffalo Bills lead the field16 outcomes | $10M$76K 24h | Jan 24, 2027 |
| New York Stanley Cup Odds 2027NHL · 32 outcomes · 2 venues |  Buffalo Sabres 13th of 32 New York Rangers 20th New York Islanders 24th | 3%+3233 | — | Florida Panthers 12%leads 32 outcomes | $2.2M$17K 24h | Jun 30, 2027 |
| New York NBA Eastern Conference Odds 2027NBA · 15 outcomes · 2 venues | New York Knicks 2nd of 15Brooklyn Nets 15th | 21%+388 | — | Philadelphia 76ers 23%leads 15 outcomes | $2.1M$7K 24h | Jun 4, 2027 |
| New York Liberty WNBA Finals Odds 2026WNBA · 8 outcomes · 1 venue |  New York Liberty 6th of 8 | 6%+1567 | — | Minnesota Lynx 49%leads 8 outcomes | $995K$7K 24h | Oct 30, 2026 |
| New York Mets Playoff Odds 2026MLB · 2 outcomes · 2 venues | New York Mets settled noNo settled yes | 0%— | — | No settled yesthe other side | $442K$50 24h | Settled |
| New York Giants Win Total Odds 2026NFL · 16 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 9 line16 thresholds | 54%-117 | up 1 points over 24h | Over 8 68% · Over 10 41%the rungs either side | $327Kno 24h volume served | Jan 18, 2027 |
| New York Jets Win Total Odds 2026NFL · 16 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 7 line16 thresholds | 50%-100 | down 1 points over 24h | Over 6 65% · Over 8 36%the rungs either side | $151K$56 24h | Jan 18, 2027 |
| New York Yankees Win Total Odds 2026MLB · 2 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 95 line2 thresholds | 31%+223 | — | Over 90 96%the rung beside the line | $92K$59 24h | Nov 7, 2026 |
| New York NHL Eastern Conference Odds 2027NHL · 16 outcomes · 2 venues | Buffalo Sabres 8th of 16New York Rangers 12thNew York Islanders 13th | 5%+1900 | — | Florida Panthers 21%leads 16 outcomes | $81K$1K 24h | Jun 4, 2027 |
| New York Liberty Win Total Odds 2026WNBA · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Yes 91%No 9% | 91%-1011 | — | No 9%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $18Kno 24h volume served | — |
| Syracuse Football Win Total Odds 2026NCAAF · 8 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 6 line8 thresholds | 54%-117 | — | Over 5 70% · Over 7 40%the rungs either side | $16Kno 24h volume served | Dec 20, 2026 |
| Buffalo Bills Playoff Odds 2026NFL · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Buffalo Bills 80%No 21% | 80%-400 | — | No 21%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $9K$707 24h | — |
| Brooklyn Nets Playoff Odds 2027NBA · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Brooklyn Nets 6%No 99% | 6%+1567 | — | No 99%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $4Kno 24h volume served | — |
| New York Knicks Playoff Odds 2027NBA · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | New York Knicks 94%No 10% | 94%-1567 | — | No 10%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $2Kno 24h volume served | — |
No sports market in that group.
Politics
8 markets · the 3 largest by volume, then the next 38 markets · by volumeSee all 8 politics →New York Governor Odds 2026
New York 21st District Odds 2026
New York 17th District Odds 2026
| Market | New York | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Governor Odds 2026Statewide · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Democratic Party 92%No 8% | 92%-1150 | — | No 8%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $1.4M$8K 24h | No date servedvote |
| New York 21st District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · 2 venues | Republican Party 76%No 26% | 76%-308 | down 3 points over 24h | No 26%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $124K$738 24h | No date servedvote |
| New York 17th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · 2 venues | Democratic Party 59%No 42% | 59%-141 | — | No 42%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $98K$415 24h | No date servedvote |
| New York 1st District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · 2 venues | Republican Party 74%No 28% | 74%-277 | up 2 points over 24h | No 28%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $79K$1K 24h | No date servedvote |
| New York 10th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · 2 venues | Democratic Party 100%No 3% | 100%-19900 | — | No 3%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $73Kno 24h volume served | No date servedvote |
| New York 4th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · 2 venues | Democratic Party 94%No 8% | 94%-1567 | — | No 8%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $19K$760 24h | No date servedvote |
| New York QSBS Tax Decoupling Odds 2026Statewide · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Yes 8%No 94% | 8%+1150 | — | No 94%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $3Kno 24h volume served | Jan 8, 2027vote |
| New York City Congestion Pricing Odds 2027Local · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Yes 8%No 98% | 8%+1150 | — | No 98%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $1Kno 24h volume served | Jan 1, 2027vote |
No politics market in that group.
Economics
3 markets · the 3 largest by volume3 markets · by volumeSee all 3 economics →New York City Billionaires Odds 2026
New York Gas Prices Odds 2026
New York City Rent Increase Odds 2026
| Market | New York | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City Billionaires Odds 20266 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 1 line6 thresholds | 49%+104 | — | Over 3 33%the rung beside the line | $87K$13 24h | Dec 31, 2026 |
| New York Gas Prices Odds 20267 thresholds · Kalshi | Under $4.80 line7 thresholds | 46%+117 | — | Under $5.20 27%the rung beside the line | $80K$811 24h | Jan 1, 2027 |
| New York City Rent Increase Odds 20266 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 6 line6 thresholds | 50%-100 | — | Over 5 73% · Over 7 24%the rungs either side | $3Kno 24h volume served | Jan 10, 2027 |
No economics market in that group.
Price is the New York side’s figure, the mean of the books quoting it · 24h in points, — under a point · Field = the whole-field leader, the other quoted side, or the rungs either side of the line · sports dates as served by Genius; politics rows show the vote, from each page’s settlement text
Movers
A point or more in 24h, then the busiest that held- New York 21st District Odds 2026Republican Partydown 3 points over 24h76%-308
- New York 1st District Odds 2026Republican Partyup 2 points over 24h74%-277
- New York Jets Win Total Odds 2026Over 7down 1 points over 24h50%-100
- New York Giants Win Total Odds 2026Over 9up 1 points over 24h54%-117
- New York Super Bowl Odds 2026Buffalo Billsheld within a point over 24h11%+852
- New York World Series Odds 2026New York Yankeesheld within a point over 24h12%+770
Top New York Prediction Markets
A contract qualifies for this catalogue when the geography attached to it makes New York the state that decides the question, a test on the contract rather than on its title. What passes divides three ways and one of the three is empty. Politics holds the statewide race for governor, which had taken about $995.1K in lifetime volume by September 2, 2026, and the contests in the 1st, 4th, 10th, 17th and 21st congressional districts, the busiest of them the 21st at $106.5K. Sport holds the rest: win totals on the Yankees, the Giants, the Jets, the Liberty and Syracuse, postseason contracts on the Mets, the Bills, the Knicks and the Nets, and the multi-outcome title and conference boards New York clubs are entrants on. Money is the empty division: no contract settled by a New York economic or fiscal figure has opened, which is why /money lists nothing. The board above orders what passes by the past day of trading; the same pages sorted by subject sit under /politics and /sports, and the clubs keep their own index at /teams.
What Moves New York Prediction Markets
Two calendars do most of the repricing. The election calendar runs to the general election of November 3, 2026, with early voting from October 24 to November 1 and the county recanvass on November 18. The sporting calendar runs from the college football openers on September 5, 2026, through the end of the baseball regular season on September 27 and into a hockey season that starts on September 29. Between scheduled dates a contract moves on the ordinary news of its subject: a filing with the Board of Elections, an injury, a trade, a result somewhere else in the standings. The reporting on those events sits at /news, and what has been filed and ordered on New York's own legal record is at /legal, as of the date that page carries.
Why New York Prediction Markets
Every page in this catalogue is a binary contract: one stated outcome, a Yes and a No, and a price between them that reads as the implied probability the market assigns it. That is what lets a congressional seat and a baseball season sit in one list and be compared at all. The rule is also written before the fact rather than argued after it: a party contract settles on the party that takes the office, a season contract on a league's own standings and clinching rules. Where two exchanges price the same New York question both are named and neither is averaged into the other; where one prices it, the board shows a single venue's price.
Questions readers ask
How do prediction markets work?
A prediction market is a set of yes-or-no contracts on a stated outcome. Each contract settles at its full value on Yes or at nothing on No once the outcome is known, and the price it last traded at is what buyers and sellers together imply about it. Every contract in this catalogue carries its own written resolution rule.
What kinds of New York prediction markets are there?
Two families. Contracts on New York's own ballot, from the statewide race for governor to individual congressional districts, and contracts on the seasons of New York clubs, written as win totals or as postseason places. A contract belongs here when the geography attached to it makes New York the state that decides the question.
How do New York prediction markets settle?
Each contract carries its own written rule and its page states it. An election contract is read against certification by the State Board of Elections after the November 3, 2026 general election, a club season contract against the league's own final standings, and an economic contract against the federal or state release it names.
Where can I trade New York prediction markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the exchanges pricing New York questions. Both are named on a contract page when both list the same question, every price carries the day it was read, and no average is taken across the two.
Are prediction markets legal in New York?
The legal status page answers that from the documents rather than with a verdict: what has been filed on New York's record, what has been ordered on it, and the date each entry carries. This catalogue draws no conclusion of its own, and that page is read again after every new filing.