New York Prediction Markets & 2026 Odds

Top New York Prediction Markets

A contract qualifies for this catalog when the geography attached to it makes New York the state that decides the question, a test on the contract rather than on its title. What passes divides three ways. Politics holds the statewide race for governor, on which about 995,100 contracts had traded on Kalshi by September 2, 2026, and the contests in the 1st, 4th, 10th, 17th and 21st congressional districts. Sport holds win totals on the Yankees, the Giants, the Jets, the Liberty and Syracuse, postseason contracts on the Mets, the Bills, the Knicks and the Nets, and the multi-outcome title and conference boards New York clubs are entrants on. Money holds contracts settled on a published New York figure: New York gas prices on AAA's state average, New York City rent increase on the StreetEasy Rental Index and New York City billionaires on Forbes' cities list, with the daily gas contract on the New York gas prices page leading the money hub. Two more turn on a government act and sit with politics: whether the Manhattan congestion toll ends and whether New York decouples from the federal QSBS exclusion. The board above orders what passes by the past day of trading; the same pages sorted by subject sit under /politics and /sports, and the clubs keep their own index at /teams.

What Moves New York Prediction Markets

Two calendars do most of the repricing. The election calendar runs to the general election of November 3, 2026, with early voting from October 24 to November 1 and the county recanvass on November 18. The sporting calendar on October 19, 2026 had football and hockey under way, the NBA season about to open on October 20 and a World Series due to start on October 23 without a New York club. Between scheduled dates a contract moves on the ordinary news of its subject: a filing with the Board of Elections, an injury, a trade, a result somewhere else in the standings. The reporting on those events sits at /news, and what has been filed and ordered on New York's own legal record is at /legal, as of the date that page carries.

Why New York Prediction Markets

Every page in this catalog is a binary contract: one stated outcome, a Yes and a No, and a price between them that reads as the implied probability the market assigns it. That is what lets a congressional seat and a baseball season sit in one list and be compared at all. The rule is also written before the fact rather than argued after it: a party contract settles on the party that takes the office, a season contract on a league's own standings and clinching rules. Where two exchanges price the same New York question both are named and neither is averaged into the other; where one prices it, the board shows a single venue's price.