New York Liberty Prediction Markets & 2026 WNBA Odds

New York Liberty 2026 win total odds

The contract asked one thing: would New York finish the 2026 WNBA regular season with at least 25 wins? It settled Yes. The Liberty won 93-81 at Minnesota on September 18, 2026 for their 25th win, and Kalshi, the only exchange that carried the contract, settled it Yes on September 20. Only regular-season games counted toward the number, so the postseason that followed could not change it. The Liberty win total market page records the settlement and the terms, and the Liberty WNBA Finals page records how the title contract ended.

The Eastern Conference picture

New York finished the regular season 26-18 and fourth in the Eastern Conference, after winning at Minnesota on September 18 and at Toronto on September 20 and then losing both closing home games to Atlanta, 95-84 and 83-65. Atlanta finished first in the East at 30-14. As the lowest of the eight playoff seeds the Liberty opened at Minnesota, which had the league's best record at 33-11, and won the best-of-three series in two games: 91-75 at Target Center on September 27 and 87-71 at Barclays Center on September 29.

What has moved the Liberty market

The win total had nothing left to move after September 20, and the season ended in the semifinal. Atlanta swept the best-of-five series, winning 92-82 and 101-98 in overtime in Atlanta on October 4 and 7, then 85-83 at Barclays Center on October 9, 2026, on a night the Liberty led after three quarters. Polymarket settled New York's title contract No that night, under its rule that an eliminated club resolves No. Atlanta now plays Golden State in the WNBA Finals, which Golden State led after a 68-64 win at Chase Center on October 17; that series bears on neither New York contract.

Where the Liberty play

Home is Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. It held the Liberty's regular-season home dates and both of their 2026 home postseason games: the first-round clincher against Minnesota on September 29 and the semifinal loss to Atlanta on October 9. Settlement counted a win wherever it was earned, so the building sat outside the terms of the contract, but it is where the season both turned and ended.

When the market resolves

Both of the club's 2026 contracts have resolved: the 25-win line Yes on September 20, 2026, and the title contract No on October 9, after the semifinal. Nothing in the Finals can reopen either one. The page stays up with both outcomes recorded on the market pages, and the rest of the state's clubs are on the teams page.